Source: Bureau of Meteorology

For people in South West and parts of Central, Mallee, Wimmera and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts.

Issued at 7:49 pm Sunday, 2 February 2025.

INTENSE RAINFALL OCCURRING NEAR LARA WEST OF MELBOURNE THIS EVENING.

Weather Situation: Severe thunderstorms are continuing to develop in the area west of Melbourne along an area of wind convergence, with an expectation to continue for the next few hours.

VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding, large hailstones and damaging winds over the next several hours in parts of the Central district. Locations which may be affected include Lara and Avalon Airport.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones, damaging winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in the South West and parts of the Central, Mallee, Wimmera and West and South Gippsland districts. Locations which may be affected include Hamilton, Warrnambool, Ballarat, Geelong, Wonthaggi and Bacchus Marsh.

In fire affected areas heavy rainfall increases the risk of debris flows, runoff may carry ash, soil, rocks and vegetation onto roads and tracks and into waterways.

35.4 MM OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED AT LARA IN THE 1 HOUR TO 7:33 PM.

96 km/h wind gust was recorded at Frankston Beach at 7:29 pm.

90 km/h wind gust was recorded at Avalon Airport at 6:47 pm.

22.4 mm of rainfall was recorded at Geelong Racecourse in the 30 minutes to 7:00 pm.

19.2 mm of rainfall was recorded at Moolap in the 30 minutes to 7:04 pm.

124 km/h wind gust was recorded at Mt Gellibrand (west of Geelong) at 5:23 pm.

2cm hailstones were observed at Tootgarook around 2:30 pm.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* If driving conditions are dangerous, safely pull over away from trees, drains, low-lying areas and floodwater. Avoid travel if possible.
* Stay safe by avoiding dangerous hazards, such as floodwater, mud, debris, damaged roads and fallen trees.
* Be aware - heat, fire or recent storms may make trees unstable and more likely to fall when it's windy or wet.
* Check that loose items, such as outdoor settings, umbrellas and trampolines are safely secured. Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Stay indoors and away from windows.
* If outdoors, move to a safe place indoors. Stay away from trees, drains, gutters, creeks and waterways.
* Stay away from fallen powerlines - always assume they are live.
* Be aware that in fire affected areas, rainfall run-off into waterways may contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks. Heavy rainfall may also increase the potential for landslides and debris across roads.
* Stay informed: Monitor weather warnings, forecasts and river levels at the Bureau of Meteorology website, and warnings through VicEmergency website/app/hotline.